[computer-go] Why Poker-GMs don't win at poker.

[Jacques Basaldúa]

> >Poker can be analyzed well by (even naif) Monte Carlo methods.

> How? 

Simulation! Whatever evaluation you need and don't know how to 
compute because it is too complex for easy formulas can be 
simulated.

This applies to the probability of winning, but also on the 
betting decisions (call, raise, etc.) and the amount in the pots
your own and your opponent's. Play it out randomly 100000 times
and see how many times you win/loose. Whatever estimator you get
will be better than what a human can do just guessing.

I call it naif because its the first idea, like basic MC. Then,
knowing the problem better you can evolve to something like UCT
that favors more promising lines, etc.

Jacques.